2022/12/15 (127) Column

The Way Is The Goal:
With A Time Frame, A Trading Frame & A Tablet
Thanks To Your Time Frame,
You Keep Your Head In Order


The Chinese philosopher Laotse already knew that 600 years before Christ: “The way is the goal”.
A good plan always includes a good goal. Just even like and/or a good goal always includes a good plan.
Because in order to achieve a certain goal, the process you use and the effort you put in to achieve it have value in and of themselves. And not just the actual achievement of the goal itself; being on the move is at least as important as arriving, the attempt is at least as instructive. What you – both in failure and success – mostly only in retrospect, from case to case, (not) realized.

Imagine you want to earn money on US Wall Street, on the financial market, especially with derivatives (with trading CFD`s). You are reading one of my DEVISE 2 DAY Editions without having known beforehand whether you will after implement a transaction – or whether you will not. However, it doesn’t matter. Although your goal is to want to earn money on the financial market, you currently do not (yet) know whether you should buy/sell something. And so you notice while reading, analyzing and evaluating my Central Bank 4XsetUps that you have not perceived US monetary policy in this way until now. About the Economic 4XsetUps you disagree with my opinion. And that the Financial Market 4XSetUps make your mouth water, let you smile. While in the Scenario 4XSetUps you just nod your head in the affirmative. Last but not least, you have taken a liking to my Technical Analysis 4XSetups; and you read it through several times. On the second reading you analyze my analysis – and form your own opinion, in the form of self-talk, in your own imaginary thought cloud. And on the third reading, you even rate my technical price marks – and ask yourself whether you shouldn’t implement another transaction today after all. You read, analyze and/or evaluate other technical analyses, from diverse other financial market participants, unknown to me, about the share, of my Technical Analysis 4XSetUps, in order to be completely sure of your own opinion. And as you made decission, you buy/sell or not trade!
Because, the way is the goal! Roger that?

   “The way is the goal”, like Laotse said:
a) thanks to your time frame, you keep your head in order
b) thanks to your trading framework, you concentrate on the basics
c) thanks to your tablet you navigate through information like a pro

It doesn’t matter if you buy something. Or sell something. After reading, analyzing and/or evaluating any stock after reading my DEVISE 2 DAY Edition, or if you don’t trade anything. The way is the goal. Because when you read, analyze and evaluate, even this current DEVISE 2 DAY Edition, after reading, analyzing and evaluating, you will certainly not become any more stupid. So read my DEVISE 2 DAY daily; day by day. According to David Hume: “Habit is the great guide in human life”. And that just with the help of a time frame, a trading frame, and/or a tablet. So that from now on you too can learn to organize your life humanely. In order to organize yourself on the US Wall Street, on the financial market, especially in the form of derivatives trading (with the help of CFD`s), on such a high and broad, fast and concrete level that your important fellow human beings (such as wife, children , grandchildren and other friends and acquaintances) do not miss out.

You can organize your daily life with the help of a simple but well-structured »time framework«.
Bring your sleep time, your main job, your family time, your free time, in harmony. And as a result, you create 1 to 2 hours every day in order to be able to participate in the global financial market. And that despite another main job. Which you will not neglect any more than your family, your hobby in your free time, if you act within your self-defined »time framework«. What? Don’t you think that’s a reasonably useful idea? And that even though you have another main job during the day to finance your livelihood? Visit my homepage! And you may become a market guy at a better level in as little as a week, possibly a month, and/or certainly a quarter! What you don’t believe me again? Try it to prove yourself!
I worded it for you…
DEVISE 2 DAY 48h
– My Last Thoughts Abot Market Price Actions

It`s a more as usual average busy week in the united states with the Fed Interest rate decision on wednesday and/or the inflation report on tuesday. Also, the Bank of England, the European Central Bank, the Swiss National Bank, and the Bank of Mexico will hold monetary policy meetings all on thursday. And/Or the UK will release inflation data, on wednesday also. Investors will also follow ZEW Economic Sentiment for Germany, on Tuesday. And much more retail sales and industrial production for China, on thursday. And on friday, finally, flash PMI readings will be released for major developed economies including the US, UK, Euro Area, and/or Australia.China Unemployment Rate Up To 5.7%
China Retail Sales Crashed Ugly With -5.9%
And/Or China Industrial Production Only +2.2%
China’s surveyed urban unemployment rate increased to a six-month high of 5.7% in November 2022 from 5.5% in the previous month amid ongoing COVID-19 restrictions. While China’s retail trade declined by 5.9% year-on-year in November 2022, much faster than a 0.5% fall in the prior month and worse than market expectations of a 3.7% drop. This was the second straight month of decrease in retail trade and the steepest pace since May, as consumption deteriorated due to the impact of a new wave of COVID infections and ongoing restrictions. China’s industrial production advanced 2.2% yoy in November 2022, less than market estimates of a 3.6% increase and easing from a 5.0% gain in the previous month. This was the weakest growth in industrial production since May, amid rising COVID infections and strict curbs as well as a downturn in the property sector. Among sectors, output of manufacturing grew softer, amid a decline in utilities, while mining activity accelerated. It was bad day for the stock markets worldwide today, after this bad data.

BOE And/Or ECB Raised Rates By 0.5%
The two major central banks from London (Bank of England) and/or Frankfurt (European Central Bank) could not do anything either – the shares became even cheaper throughout the day around the world. The BOE voted by a majority of 6-3 to raise interest rates by 50 basis points to 3.5 percent during its December meeting, pushing the cost of borrowing to the highest level since late-2008, as policymakers try to contain inflation amid fears of a looming economic recession. While the ECB raised interest rates by 50 bps during its last monetary policy meeting of 2022, marking a fourth rate increase, following two consecutive 75bps hikes. That takes the deposit facility to 2%, the refinancing rate to 2.5% and the marginal lending to 2.75%, a level not seen in fourteen years. More detail informations in the Central Bank 4XSetUps and/or Economic 4XSetUps.
DEVISE 2 DAY Another 48h
– Some Last News About Market Price Actions

Stocks in Germany Hit 5-week Low
DE40 decreased to a 5-week low of 13982

European Stocks Tumble on Thursday
European equity markets closed sharply lower at over 1-month low on Thursday, with the benchmark Stoxx 600 down 2.8% and the German DAX falling 3.2% after the ECB raised interest rates by 50 bps to the highest level since early 2009 and said it expects to raise them significantly further because inflation is seen above the target for too long. The bloc’s central bank has also announced it would start reducing its €5 trillion bond portfolio from March.

Stocks in United States Hit 5-week Low
US30 decreased to a 5-week low of 33118

Banxico Raises Rate to Record-High 10.5%
The Bank of Mexico raised its benchmark policy rate by 50bps to 10.5% at its December 2022 meeting, as expected, and signaled another raise in the next meeting, although the pace will depend on data available. The decision lifted borrowing costs to their highest on record, marking the 13th consecutive rate hike and adding to the 650bps of rate increases since the start of the bank’s tightening cycle in June. Five of the six board members voted in favor of the decision, while a lone member preferred a softer 25bps increase. Banxico noted the need for tighter policy as core prices continued to accelerate in November, with forecasts being revised higher to show that core inflation will peak in Q4 before slowing next year. Policymakers also cited high interest rates as the support for the peso to have held ground against the dollar this year. While projections indicate that headline inflation is slowing, the central bank believes it will only return to the 3% target level by Q4 of 2024.

Israel Inflation Rate Hits Highest Since 2008
Israel’s annual inflation rate rose to 5.3 percent in November of 2022 from 5.1 percent in the prior month, and mostly in line with market expectations. It was the highest reading since October 2008, as prices rose at a faster rate for housing (6.4 percent vs. 6.2 percent in October), food, excluding vegetables and fruit (5.3 percent vs. 5.0 percent), education, culture, & entertainment (3.6 percent vs. 2.7 percent) and dwelling maintenance (5.7 percent vs. 5.4 percent). On the other hand, transport & communication prices slowed (8.1 percent vs. 8.4 percent). Monthly, consumer prices rose by 0.1 percent, easing from a 0.6 percent increase in the prior period.DEVISE 2 DAY 48h
– Where I Was Wrong, Where I Was Right

Our short UKOIL trading capability since 95$ under 100$ is still volatile and/or fast as excepted in the money. Above 5$ up and/or down a week seems like to get normal. That`s why we`re attracting our expected proft this week, bwith the help of an higher stop proce. We hedge our profits in the UKOIL at least at 80$. An handful of dollars around our $70 target, so let`s take a quick look in the rearview mirror and set the stop prive at $80. So that we will have at least 15$ safe of this short 4XSetUp in our trading account. However, I no longer assume that we will trade UKOIL above 80$ again, let alone 90$, yes 100$. On the contrary! And that´s why I’m lowering the target price to 50$ by the end of 2023. As I assume that in our so-called West, in 2023, inflation will also come down. And the price of oil will also come down ambivalently. And that regardless of the economic situation and/or demand from China. Because, from this weeical point of view I don`t expect any further and worser escalation in Eastern Ukraine either, so that the 90$, even 100$ and higher, which we traded in early 2022, hopefully in retrospect was an historical standard deviation; just an extraordinary bad mad scenario of all involved actors. Just only a cruel and/or unnecessary war.

In our long CBOT_MINI-YM1! 4XSetUps we reaised our stop price, some weeks before, also! In fact, at the level of the trading day, in October 2022, when the inflationrate numbers for September 2022 was released. Because on this trading day CBOT_MINI-YM1! crashed by down to 1000 points. So at price actions above 32780 points we can now speak of a completed short-term technical formation and can argue as bulls with a technical bullish picture at least. And that’s the main thing to watch until the end of this year 2022. And if CBOT_MINI-YM1! comes back after fall under 32780 points i formulate this week a new long 4XSetUp trading capability ahead. But I don`t want to to anticipate too much. Let´s leave that for now and let the CBOT_MINI-YM1! price action talk for it`s own..