2022/12/13 (125) Column

Intrinsically Pro-Active
Motivated On Every Trading Day,
That`s Why 4XSetUps Daily


On my homepage you can get very concrete help for self-help in relation to your own competence (time frame & trading framework) and/or own personality (instructions for self-instruction). And that not in the form of specific strategies & tactics that will guarantee you wins. No! Rather, we market guys increase our conditional probability of learning to organize a profit for ourselves with the help of CFD`s, due to certain thoughts, due to certain words spoken, and or also due to certain actions. So that after reading every DEVISE 2 DAY Edition – including this current one – with all modesty, we can confidently say to ourselves, to other people, and/or to the world: “I am right here right now, meanwhile truly a competent (market guy) personality! I now know how and what I trade (buy/sell or do nothing) on us wallstreet, on the financial market, while my cfd derivate trading (information processing and transaction execution) on each trading day. Even if I I can only take 1 hour on weekdays. Because I have a main job every trading day!”

Intrinsic proactive motivation always comes from an experienced behavior itself – such as while you action on the us wallstreet, on the financial market,even while your cfd trading (information processing and transaction execution) – and/or from the expectation of an imminent experience. The crucial point for a behavior of us market guys to be intrinsically pro-actively motivated is therefore always that it is motivated by ourselves, Concret: that nobody needs to send you to make trading decisions (buy/sell or do nothing).

That`s It. The way and the goal; the goal and the way; of my info service! Everything else on my homepage…
DEVISE 2 DAY 48h
– My Last Thoughts Abot Market Price Actions

It`s a more as usual average busy week in the united states with the Fed Interest rate decision on wednesday and/or the inflation report on tuesday. Also, the Bank of England, the European Central Bank, the Swiss National Bank, and the Bank of Mexico will hold monetary policy meetings all on thursday. And/Or the UK willrelease inflation data, on wednesday also. Investors will also follow ZEW Economic Sentiment for Germany, on Tuesday. And much more retail sales and industrial production for China, on thursday. And on froday, finally, flash PMI readings will be released for major developed economies including the US, UK, Euro Area, and/or Australia.

US Inflation
Is Coming Down Faster And/Or Deeper As Excepted
– And Stock Markets (Even Our CBOT_MINI-YM1!) Is Going Crazy
The annual inflation rate in the US slowed for a fifth straight month to 7.1% in November of 2022, the lowest since December last year, and below forecasts of 7.3%. Core consumer prices in the United States increased 6% in November of 2022 over the same month in the previous year, slightly below market expectations of 6.1% and compared to 6.3% in October. More detailed information about the current US inflation figures, as you are used to know from me, in the Economic 4XSetUps. And/Or in the Technical Analysis 4XSetUps how to trade the Dow Future – the CBOT_MINI-YM1!.

The UK Unemplyment Rate As Escepted By 3.7%
The unemployment rate in the UK edged higher to 3.7% in the three months to October of 2022 from 3.6% in the previous period, matching market forecasts. The employment rate also went up to 75.6% from 75.4%, with payrolled employees rising by 107K to a record of 29.9 million. So, from this Economic 4XSetUps point of view no reason once again not still to stay long in our GBPUSD 4XSetUp trading capabiloty.

Germany`s ZEW Sentiment Indicator Of Economic Increased,
While Euro Area`s ZEW Sentiment Indicator Of Economic Improved
The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany increased to -23.3 in December of 2022 from -36.7 in November, beating market forecasts of -26.4. It is the highest reading since February, as the economic outlook improved slightly helped by a stabilization on the energy markets and as inflation rate is expected to decline in the coming months which in turn fuelled bets the ECB could tighten monetary policy for a shorter period. The current conditions gauge also improved to -61.4 from -64.5. The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for the Euro Area improved to -23.6 in December of 2022 from -38.7 in the prior month and better than market expectations of -25.7. It was the highest reading since February, on the back of the temporary stabilization on the energy markets and the expected decline in inflation in the coming months. At the same time, the indicator of the current economic situation increased by 7.7 points to -57.4 while inflation expectations fell by 27.1 points to -79.3 points.DEVISE 2 DAY Another 48h
– Some Last News About Market Price Actions

Russian Stocks Close Flat
The ruble-based MOEX Russia index closed flat at 2,174 on Tuesday as losses for oil shares offset gains for miners, while investors assessed the outlook for the Russian economy as expectations of lower revenues and increased war spending dent the government’s finances. Data from the Ministry of Finance showed that Russia’s budget surplus widened sharply in November due to the large windfall tax paid by Gazprom, but officials still expect Russia to close the year with a budget shortfall equivalent to 2% of GDP. Revenues from oil companies should drop even further amid the EU’s oil embargo and the G7’s price cap. Oil companies continued to underperform with Transneft tanking 1.3%. On the other hand, miners surged with Polyus and Severstal adding 3.5% each after cooler-than-expected US inflation triggered a rally in metal prices, pointing to an increased connection between Russian miners and benchmark commodity prices despite sweeping capital controls by the MOEX and CBR.

FTSE 100 Regains Traction
Equities in London gained ground on Tuesday, with the benchmark FTSE 100 finishing around the 7,500 mark, driven by gains among real estate, financials, and materials stocks. Softer-than-expected US inflation data fanned expectations that the Federal Reserve may be able to slow its tempo of interest-rate hikes. Money markets are now pricing an over 80% chance of a smaller 50 bps hike in December. Domestically, recent data showed that UK wages are rising at a near-record pace, putting pressure on the Bank of England to keep hiking interest rates despite a deteriorating growth outlook. On the corporate side, Intermediate Capital Group and Ocado Group were among the biggest gainers on the FTSE 100, up roughly 5% each.Madrid Stocks
Rise to 1-Week High
The IBEX 35 index rose about 0.8% to close at a one-week high of 8,328 on Tuesday, after a softer-than-expected US inflation report reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will slow the pace of monetary tightening. The annual inflation rate in the US eased for the fifth straight month and by more than expected to 7.1% in November, the lowest since the end of 2021; while the so-called core rate of inflation, which excludes food and energy, posted the smallest monthly advance in more than a year. Attention now turns to major central banks’ policy meetings this week, including the Federal Reserve, the ECB and the Bank of England. On the corporate front, Grifols was the top performer, rising 5.1%, followed by Amadeus (+4.5%), Fluidra (+4.1%) and Melia Hotels (+2.6%).

French Stocks
End on Higher On Tuesday
The CAC 40 index rose 1.4% to close at 6,745 on Tuesday, in line with its regional peers. Market sentiment was boosted by a better-than-expected US inflation report, on the eve of the long-awaited monetary policy decision from the US central bank. The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates by half a point at the conclusion of its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday, Meanwhile, the European Central Bank, the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank are expected to follow the United States with half-point moves of their own on Thursday. On the corporate front, the top gainers were Unibail-Rodamco (+3.7%), STMicroelectronics (+3.4%) and Dassault Systemes (+3.3%). By contrast, Thales (-2.8%) and Renault (-1.1%) posted the biggest losses.

Italian Shares Close
Sharply Higher On Tuesday
The FTSE MIB index closed a choppy session 1.3% higher at 24,620 on Tuesday, lifted by the lower-than-expected inflation print in the US and consequent hopes of lower interest rate increases by the Fed. Policy-sensitive tech and auto shares led the gains in the session, with Pirelli soaring 4.6% and STMicroelectronics jumping 3.4%. In the meantime, Banco BPM jumped 4.1% and led the gains for the heavyweight banking sector following news that Fondazione Enasarco concluded the acquisition of nearly 30 million of the bank’s shares. Banca Generali followed with a 2% increase, solidifying the sector’s upward momentum this week before the ECB’s interest rate decision. On the data front, industrial production in Italy fell for the second consecutive month by 1% in October, well above estimates of a 0.4% retreat.DEVISE 2 DAY 48h
– Where I Was Wrong, Where I Was Right

Our short UKOIL trading capability since 95$ under 100$ is still volatile and/or fast as excepted in the money. Above 5$ up and/or down a week seems like to get normal. That`s why we`re attracting our expected proft this week, bwith the help of an higher stop proce. We hedge our profits in the UKOIL at least at 80$. An handful of dollars around our $70 target, so let`s take a quick look in the rearview mirror and set the stop prive at $80. So that we will have at least 15$ safe of this short 4XSetUp in our trading account. However, I no longer assume that we will trade UKOIL above 80$ again, let alone 90$, yes 100$. On the contrary! And that´s why I’m lowering the target price to 50$ by the end of 2023. As I assume that in our so-called West, in 2023, inflation will also come down. And the price of oil will also come down ambivalently. And that regardless of the economic situation and/or demand from China. Because, from this weeical point of view I don`t expect any further and worser escalation in Eastern Ukraine either, so that the 90$, even 100$ and higher, which we traded in early 2022, hopefully in retrospect was an historical standard deviation; just an extraordinary bad mad scenario of all involved actors. Just only a cruel and/or unnecessary war.

In our long CBOT_MINI-YM1! 4XSetUps we reaised our stop price, some weeks before, also! In fact, at the level of the trading day, in October 2022, when the inflationrate numbers for September 2022 was released. Because on this trading day CBOT_MINI-YM1! crashed by down to 1000 points. So at price actions above 32780 points we can now speak of a completed short-term technical formation and can argue as bulls with a technical bullish picture at least. And that’s the main thing to watch until the end of this year 2022. And if CBOT_MINI-YM1! comes back after fall under 32780 points i formulate this week a new long 4XSetUp trading capability ahead. But I don`t want to to anticipate too much. Let´s leave that for now and let the CBOT_MINI-YM1! price action talk for it`s own…